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Recent stories for "IMF"

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On the IMF, sprints, marathons and hybrids

A funny string of recent events have captured my attention. And it involves the IMF and politics. May be far fetched but a warning as well towards various addressees, either politically, economically or both. And the IMF is balancing here on a thin line judging the noises we are recently hearing.First of all there was Christine ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On January 25, 2012
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Pick 1 out of 3

So we finally came to an agreement and every one seems to be a winner. And that's how we are selling the story to the outside world, hoping they will buy it. Because that's all in the end that matters. I think we have 3 possible outcomes of which 2 out of 3 won't do the trick and 1 has the potential to trigger some "hup hup, barba ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On November 27, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets

Project Babylon anno 2011

Canadian ballistic expert Gerald Bull was a genius. At the end of his career, he developed a super piece of artillery with a barrel of 150 meters long, capable of shooting satellites from mother earth directly into orbit. He however sold the knowledge to the wrong people - Saddam - and was shot dead in in front of his Brussels ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On October 17, 2011
Tags :

Towards a sovereign CoCo ?

Cocos are contingent convertible bonds and are a hot issue of debate in the current quest for banking crisis solutions, ie, bail-in instead of bail-out. It briefly implies that these bonds are automatically converted from debt to equity at a fraction of their original price - haircut - once a pre-specified threshold of bank's ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On October 12, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets

The IMF and Lady Luck

A turbulent day and a sigh of relief seems to be the conclusion following the Greek vote. Europe and the IMF are happy with the outcome, for Greece mega austerity and a giant wall of debt refunding are on the menu. Concerning the IMF position on this rescue mission and what was said on debt policy world-wide, there is plenty of ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On June 30, 2011
Tags : Financial Products US & Canada

9 hours, 4' and 33", in 3 movements

"This is a usual coordination meeting, not an emergency meeting on Italy", the official version. Vittorio Grilli, a well respected economist and head of the Italian Treasury, was present as well and sounded nevertheless a different tune. The 17 European finance ministers gathered yesterday for 9 hours and the outcome of the ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On July 12, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Bring back the "haruspex" please

The IMF and OECD remain quite confident that the world economy is just undergoing a soft patch. (Bank) economists have been issuing buy-recommendations on equities, corporate and high yield bonds, Greek debt and the new Coldplay-CD. The latter is a good reference point, because just like some recent Coldplay-songs, we have a ...

Written by Geert Noels
On June 24, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets

Belgium: not the sick man of Europe, but of the core eurozone - update

S&P has revised its outlook for Belgium from stable to negative. "We believe that Belgium's prolonged domestic political uncertainty poses risks to its government's credit standing, especially given the difficult market conditions many eurozone governments are facing" Some remarks: - S&P is lagging behind ...

Written by Geert Noels
On December 13, 2010
Tags : Financial Markets Belgium

The European Fannie and Freddie are slowly rising

From what I read, Merkel might get at least half of what she wanted: a participation of private investors (bond holders) in case of a bailout... The other half seems that more money will have to be put on the table. From the press release: Rules will be adapted to provide for a case by case participation of ...

Written by Geert Noels
On November 28, 2010
Tags : Europe

IMF report on debt in the western world

A recent report on debt by the IMF has drawn my attention:

Written by Geert Noels
On October 10, 2010
Tags :

S&P is early, Moody

From the October issue of the IMF's Global Financial Stability Review :

Written by Geert Noels
On October 06, 2010
Tags : Financial

Growth "Conundrums"

We had some very upbeat reports lately on the global recovery gaining momentum and avoiding the double dip. The IMF in its latest report even lifted the outlook from 4,3% (April) to 4,6%. Developing nations will continue to cushion the relative weak developed performance with Europe posting a 1% growth this year. In fact, according ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On July 14, 2010
Tags :

Het IMF-partijprogramma

Stel dat het IMF een Europese partij zou zijn, die opkomt in alle landen, dan zouden ze erg weinig stemmen behalen. Hun partijprogramma ziet er ongeveer als volgt uit (ik zet het even in het Engels, dat spaart me wat tijd): • Public sector pay/hiring freeze • 2-3 percentage points increase in the ...

Written by Geert Noels
On May 03, 2010
Tags :

Real estate, the next leg?

The chart above comes from the IMF stability review, January update. It shows the price evolution of US real estate. The red line is from the commercial sector; and has started to fall seriously as from 2009. Until now, it has not attracted as much attention as the subprime and other housing real estate. But it must hurt, and will ...

Written by Geert Noels
On February 09, 2010
Tags : Financial Real Estate

Medic + Nordic = euro

Splits de euro op in een harde en een zachte munt, voor de kernlanden en de Club Med-landen. De namen zijn wat ongelukkig, maar het idee is niet onzinnig. Het werd in de weekendeditie van NRC-Handelsblad besproken. Het idee komt van prof.dr Alfred Kleinknecht van de TU Delft. Sommigen, zoals Age Bakker, ...

Written by Geert Noels
On February 13, 2010
Tags : Financial Markets

Tobin-taks, speculatie taks of schaamlapje ? - update

De EU wil het IMFaanmoedigen om een wereldwijde taks op financiële transacties in te voeren.

Written by Geert Noels
On December 11, 2009
Tags : Financial Products

De ECB staat op de rand...

Met één teen al in het water: 1% is niet langer de ondergrens, zegt Jean-Claude Trichet, de voorzitter van de Europese Centrale Bank. Binnenkort wordt geld weer gratis, de reden waarom we vandaag een kredietcrisis hebben. De ECB zal 60 miljard euro aan verpakte kredieten opkopen... De ECB is dus aan het zwichten voor de druk vanuit ...

Written by Geert Noels
On May 07, 2009
Tags : Financial Institutions

China buys gold that the IMF and others are selling... (update)

As said in previous posts, I question the intelligence of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy. More generally, I think that the Anglo-Saxon economic and financial policy has been a complete failure . The latest 'aggressive move' includes the complete explosion of budgetary balances and the willingness to print ...

Written by Geert Noels
On April 24, 2009
Tags : Commodities China Emerging East

Zal de ECB ook op haar velg rijden?

Binnen de Europese Centrale Bank (ECB) is er een grote spanning aan het ontstaan. De druk om de Angelsaksische weg op te gaan is erg groot. Ook het Internationaal Monetair Fonds (IMF) dringt aan om de rente in de eurozone verder te laten dalen. Tegelijk is voor een aantal orthodoxe centrale bankiers de 1%-rentegrens een ...

Written by Geert Noels
On April 24, 2009
Tags : Intrest Rates

The IMF will have to save the world

The G-20 summit has created some enthusiasm, and that is a succes on its own. I am skeptical about the real effecets of such a short gathering of world leaders from 20 different countries and regions. They have probably taken more time to shake hands than to discuss the systemic failures of the financial system, and the ongoing ...

Written by Geert Noels
On April 03, 2009
Tags : Financial Markets

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