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Recent stories for "Greece"

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Post 06/05 reality check - If we only had time

Have we witnessed a kind of decisive paradigm shift in Europe over the weekend ? It might still be too soon to conclude this but in political terms, some important events indeed took place. In order of importance : 1) Greek chaotic election result and not workable in the short term. Already after a couple of hours, leading party ND ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On May 08, 2012
Tags : Financial Europe Hot items

"We don't wish to make a profit" & preparing for "clean" cuts

In the ongoing saga on Greece and the Troika, again a meeting is deferred on whether or not extra money will be granted towards Athens. And the language becomes more harsh by the : "Wealthier countries are playing with fire by toying with the idea Greece should be expelled from the EMU-17 area". "There are plenty who don't want us ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On February 16, 2012
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Een zakenkabinet: zonder of met?

Mario Monti en Lucas Papademos zijn de kersverse premiers van Italië en Griekenland. Met doctoraatsdiploma’s economie van MIT en Yale op zak en topcarrières in de Europese Commissie en Europese Centrale Bank zijn het rasechte technocraten. Vormt de aanstelling van deze niet-verkozen leiders het einde van de democratie of het begin ...

Written by Daan Struyven
On November 30, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

"Real Politik" : A German Pre-emptive strike ?

Courtesy of Zerohedge and if they are right with their scope, we still can't say that we hadn't seen this one coming : Apparently Germany is silently preparing a "tabula rasa" and "cut the crap". In Thursday's Handelsblatt edition, it would appear that the following simple question would be raised : those who can and willing to ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On November 09, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Not quite there yet

The summit which was announced as the most important one of the past months (years) in the existence of the single currency, has been wrapped more quickly than expected. It doesn't however mean that the consensus on a solution has been achieved. Again, come and see next episode of...So all eyes on Wednesday to face the final ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On October 24, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

3 reasons why the EU wants rating agencies to shut op for a while

The Financial Times Deutschland mentioned the fact that the EU is thinking about a ban on rating agencies issuing ratings on eurozone countries. It could be said that the ratings agencies are like thermometers that provoke a rise of temperature. But this is probably not the right angle to look at this possible action. The reason ...

Written by Geert Noels
On October 20, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

The naked European truth

Stratfor Global Intelligence (www.stratfor.com) is an international think tank on global politics, economy and military developments. In its weekend online edition, their CEO Dr George Friedman , a widely recognized international economic and political affairs expert and author of numerous books, gives his ...

Written by Geert Wellens
On October 01, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Cunning Tails

"I have got a plan so cunning that if you put a tail on it, you could call it a weasel !". These days, various financial assets are "weasel" priced with surprising cunning tails. Tail risk briefly involves "tales of the unexpected". And we have so far seen quite an unusual high amount of unexpected pricing in various assets. And ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On September 06, 2011
Tags : Financial

The Recession of 2011?

The renowned American financial expert and much appreciated Econopolis- and Econoshock-contact John Mauldin very accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2008 and the recession that resulted from it. In his latest newsletter "Thoughts from the Frontline" (www.johnmaulding.com and ...

Written by Geert Wellens
On August 21, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets US & Canada

The IMF and Lady Luck

A turbulent day and a sigh of relief seems to be the conclusion following the Greek vote. Europe and the IMF are happy with the outcome, for Greece mega austerity and a giant wall of debt refunding are on the menu. Concerning the IMF position on this rescue mission and what was said on debt policy world-wide, there is plenty of ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On June 30, 2011
Tags : Financial Products US & Canada

The Greek bailout: wasted money

If you ask a frog to come up with a plan for draining a swamp, you are likely to end up with a proposal for more flooding.An inverse wealth tax That is the conclusion of Harald Hau , finance professor at Insead. the bailout is unlikely to end the problems with Greece and the eurozone. Why did the EU made such a bad ...

Written by Geert Noels
On July 28, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets

EMU & Greece : A Woody Allen - Groucho Marx Approach

"I would never join a club that would allow a person like me to become a member", dixit Woody Allen (Groucho Marx). Concerning EMU, unfortunately Greece did and unfortunately European politics allowed it. Was there a case for refusal and should we have known better, a posteriori or a priori ? Let the data speak. When Maastricht was ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On June 27, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets

Sympathy with Greece is mostly misplaced

My Sunday readings included i.a. The New York Times, John Mauldin, The Daily Mail, and a lot of statistics by Eurostat, IMF and OECD. All the facts and hard data on Greece point to a country where citizens cheat their government, and where the government has been cheating Europe. John Mauldin , the ...

Written by Geert Noels
On June 26, 2011
Tags : Europe

Rood licht: 2011 voelt aan als 2008

De voorzitter van de Europese centrale bank (ECB), Jean-Claude Trichet, heeft gezegd dat het licht op rood staat: "On a personal basis I would say it is red," Trichet told reporters when asked what color the European Systemic Risk Board's traffic light warning system was displaying in relation to the debt turmoil.Trichet had net de ...

Written by Geert Noels
On June 23, 2011
Tags : Financial

Greece : Who will pay the Ferry-man ?

The next article appeared in De Standaard and expresses the views of Geert Noels & Econopolis on the euro-zone sovereign debt crisis : De banken: risktakers moeten mee betalen. 'Tot voor zes maanden was de aanpak van het Grieks probleem: steeds meer geld op tafel leggen. Maar langzaam maar zeker evolueert het in een andere ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On June 17, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Please send more money !!

About a year ago, the following joke circulated in financial markets worldwide when the sovereign debt crisis broke out : Rather than work hard, live within his means and save for the future, a dissolute student decided to invent a system for beating the bank at roulette. After months of experimentation with betting ...

Written by Christof Govaerts
On May 31, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

3 vragen over Griekenland

1. Is een Griekse schuldherschikking onvermijdelijk ? 'Een of andere aanpassing van de terugbetalingsmodaliteiten van de Griekse schuld is niet te vermijden. Voorbeelden daarvan zijn een verlenging van de looptijd, het overslaan of kapitaliseren van een rentebetaling, het nemen van een 'haircut' (bijvoorbeeld aanvaarden ...

Written by Geert Noels
On April 25, 2011
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

De Europese Schuldpiramide

De wet van Gresham is aan een demonstratie bezig in Europa: het goede geld wordt in snel tempo achter het slechte geworpen. De ECB is ontmaagd, Maastricht verkracht en de euro verdrachmet.

Written by Geert Noels
On December 28, 2010
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

Greece: Argentina revisited ?

Interesting Fed research on the parallel between Greece and Argentina. And while the US Fed of San Francisco is trying to avoid alarmist conclusions, the Greek crisis has not ended yet.

Written by Geert Noels
On November 02, 2010
Tags : Europe

A 1000 Bn USD waste of money for Greece

Greek interest rate spreads are back at crisis levels of just before the EMU bailout fund. After 1000 Bn USD bailout effort, we are back at square 1. The Greek crisis has not been ended because of several reasons: Greece has received credits to (re)finance its (growing) debt, but the debt servicing ...

Written by Geert Noels
On September 02, 2010
Tags : Financial Markets Europe

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