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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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Shiny collateral - opening up a gold debate

Shiny collateral - opening up a gold debate - image A lot of new comments have showed up recently on gold and especially the gold fever of some central banks. The objective of this blog is to shed some light on the numbers and the possible implications going forward. First of all the numbers and more important, the evolution of the numbers. From the World Gold Council, we could ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 11, 2013
  • Tags : 

A short intermezzo by side-show Bob

A short intermezzo by side-show Bob - image I have been feeling a lttle bit under the weather but luckily, we can post some stuff with a little help from our friends. Sideshow Bob volunteered and came up with the following short consideration about the impact of Basel III going softer on banks and capital cushion requirements. It also touches the vital aspect of financial ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 08, 2013
  • Tags : 

Market Update - Global banks, CDS and Fx

Market Update - Global banks, CDS and Fx - image QE3 and the morning after, what's the score ? Well, considering it was pretty well wired, market reactions so far are not that exuberant in terms of volatility. Ben's message was simple : Nevermind the greenshoots appearing, we are going "all in", no matter. Until unemployment does not dive under the FED's 6,5% target, we will be ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 13, 2012
  • Tags : 

Sunday's Ballroom visit

Sunday's Ballroom visit - image A month ago, the IMF cut it growth outlook for Latin America. It was done against a backdrop of deteriorating global growth, contagion risk of the euro-crisis and the Chinese dragon running out of fire coming out of its mouth. The IMF concludes : "Policymakers in the region must be alert to spillovers from weaker prospects in ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 10, 2012
  • Tags : 

Friday Fun : Staring at Empty Pages

Friday Fun : Staring at Empty Pages - image Yesterday I attended the first day of a 2 day seminar at the NBB on "Endogenous Financial risk". The objective was to shed light on systematic risk and if remotely possible give some guidelines on the way forward. What have I learned ?The first presentation I attended was called "Measuring and testing for systemically important ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 09, 2012
  • Tags : 

An update on the adventures in the landscape of banking

An update on the adventures in the landscape of banking
 - image Before taking on the most important latest novelty - the main dish - a short appetizer on 2 items which also to a great extend stress the dangers of systemic risk still present today : 1) Yesterday the central bank of New Zealand urged its most important financial players to speed up their capital adequacy requirements : ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 12, 2012
  • Tags : 

A primer on ECB September 6 : "High time for a comprehensive approach"

A primer on ECB September 6 : That were Mario Draghi's concluding remarks speaking before European Parliament in Brussels earlier this week. Again by times a clever effort following his Zeit open letter last week where some more psychological pressure was put onto the German people. Let's see what his main message was in order to know what we can expect next ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 04, 2012
  • Tags : 

Same game, different rules ?

Same game, different rules ? - image T+3 Spanish bail-out, emergency rescue , credit-line and we are back to square 1 if Spanish yields are an indicator. Apparently markets are not convinced about the credibility of the fire wall currently put into place ; or are awaiting more clarity and reassurances, something the so-called master plan might ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  June 11, 2012
  • Tags : 

Are we liquidity trapped ?

Are we liquidity trapped ? - image A liquidity trap is a situation when people are hoarding cash, this out of various reasons. A standard definition would say because people are expecting an adverse event, such as deflation, insufficient aggregate demand or war. The classic debate between Keynesians and Austrians focus on the "why", not the fact that cash hoarding ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 08, 2012
  • Tags : 

Travel Log : Magyar Crossroads

Travel Log : Magyar Crossroads - image I have just returned from a short stay in Budapest. A magnificent town, reflecting its majestic history in architecture, impressive museums, 19th century open air bathing houses (Széchenyi !!) and probably the world's most beautiful library reading room (4th floor of Ervin Szabo Library !!). So we start with the good news and some ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 30, 2011
  • Tags : 

The risk free carry, part II : Money for nothing and the bonds for free ?

The risk free carry, part II : Money for nothing and the bonds for free ?
 - image Earlier this week, we mentioned the rally on high yield European short term government bonds in anticipation of Wednesday's ECB LTRO auctioning (Long Term Refinancing Operation). Markets had expected something in the range of 300-400 bio EUR. The final result was 489 bio EUR spread over 523 bidders, on average almost 1 bio EUR per ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100%

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100% - image After issuing a public tender, the Flemish government has apparently made a decision on their new preferred home banker. ING came out as the winner. And already a lot of fuzz going on that it's a shame a non-Belgian, or non Flemish banker for that matter, has been elected. Dexia has announced it will take the decision into ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

Big, Big Lobbying

Big, Big Lobbying - image Today Pacal Paepen - director capital markets of London city based Daiwa and known from radio 1 coverage on financial markets - explained in a free tribune why David Cameron acted cavalier seul last Friday at the EU summit. And why there is still such a huge difference between Britannia on the one hand and "Europe" or "the old ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 13, 2011
  • Tags : 

EEE : Crisis update & Echoes from Brussels

EEE : Crisis update & Echoes from Brussels - image At the Econopolis Economic Encounters on 28/11, we had the pleasure to have Nouriel Roubini - Dr Doom & Gloom - and Ivan Van De Cloot, Chief Economist of Thinktank Itinera. Both were asked to pinpoint the state of play of the current financial crisis, their short & long term expectations and recommendations on the way forward. Dr ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 28, 2011
  • Tags : 

So markets are burying JM Keynes....

So markets are burying JM Keynes.... - image ...which is sad because we only have ourselves to blame ! And I honestly mean that in every sense of the word : sad and totally misplaced political self-pitty. Keynes is to Economics what Nietzsche has been to philosophy : basically a tragic personality and most of all wildly abused. And with an ironic side-kicker as the icing on ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 23, 2011
  • Tags : 

2011-2030: in a nutshell

2011-2030: in a nutshell - image Simon Hunt, a consultant on the global economy and specialist on China, revealed his outspoken view on the world economy between now and 2030. His distinguishes two periods: the crisis years 2011-2018 and the new real era starting in 2018. We give you a brief summary and his conclusions for the next years.

  • Written by Geert Wellens
  • On  November 22, 2011
  • Tags : 

Guest Post : Bonussen, beter, best?

Guest Post : Bonussen, beter, best? - image De laatste maanden betoogden misnoegden in Brussel, Antwerpen, Leuven en Oostende tegen de inhaligheid van de banken. Het “Occupy Wall Street” protest startte deze zomer in New York en vertakt zich nu wereldwijd. Bonussen, zoals de 600,000€ voor de Dexia- CEO Pierre Mariani in 2010, liggen zwaar onder vuur. Zijn bonussen altijd te ...

  • Written by Daan Struyven
  • On  November 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

Ouverture 1812 without rour of guns - silent drums

Ouverture 1812 without rour of guns - silent drums - image It seems we have a week of urgent wake-up calls. Italy, the no3 of Europe, placed under supervision by the IMF. And Berlusconi forced to quit because Mr Market is losing its patience in view of 10 year yields now dangerously approaching the tipping point of 7%. He won't leave like that, opposition needs to vote "yes" on austerity, ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 08, 2011
  • Tags : 

"And the Final Jeopardy category is...Big Numbers"

480,000,000,000 or slightly more or less, doesn't make such a difference, does it. Ancient BEF that is. Or in today's lexicon AKA around EUR 12 billion (12,000,000,000). And that's a mighty big number, certainly in a Belgian framework. I even think that if you take the Global Plan of Dehaene-Van Rompuy I under consideration and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 06, 2011
  • Tags : 

Guest Post : Black Box Revelations

Guest Post : Black Box Revelations - image Vliegtuigcrash versus beurscrashAls luchtvaart en financiën een zaak gemeen hebben dan is het dat ze niet houden van een crash. Maar terwijl de luchtvaart methodes heeft ontwikkeld om de veiligheid steeds te verhogen, lijkt de financiële wereld van de ene crash in de andere te sukkelen. Welke lessen kunnen we leren van de ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 03, 2011
  • Tags : 
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