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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

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      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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It's hard to satisfy us

It's hard to satisfy us - image Unbelievable but now the FED has managed to arrive at the point where they exactly wanted to be, it seems that a growing part of voting members within the FOMC does no longer agree: “Prices of assets such as bonds, agricultural land, and high-yield and leveraged loans are at historically high levels,” George said in a speech ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 17, 2013
  • Tags : 

Market Update - Global banks, CDS and Fx

Market Update - Global banks, CDS and Fx - image QE3 and the morning after, what's the score ? Well, considering it was pretty well wired, market reactions so far are not that exuberant in terms of volatility. Ben's message was simple : Nevermind the greenshoots appearing, we are going "all in", no matter. Until unemployment does not dive under the FED's 6,5% target, we will be ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 13, 2012
  • Tags : 

All right listen up everybody, this is the plan...

All right listen up everybody, this is the plan... - image ...and it's all about plan B, AKA "The Great Escape". There has been some speculation going on lately on how our monetary policy makers intend to normalize the unusual situation where we are in right now. Some - and probably helicopter Ben included - argue that it can become even more unusual in view of the fact that things are not ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 07, 2012
  • Tags : 

The "Empire" strikes back - Higher

The Since unemployment and consumer confidence are not in line with its desired target, the FED decided...to buy houses. Again. QE1 apparently developed the appetite for a repetition. So we now have some 85 bio USD of asset buying on a monthly basis including the 40 bio USD extra MBS from now on (remainder re-investing of maturing MBS ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 13, 2012
  • Tags : 

PPT and the Myth of Keyser Soze

PPT and the Myth of Keyser Soze - image In our series of conspiracy theories during the silly season, we would like to turn our eyes towards the equity market after last week's adventures in Libor land. But before we do that, let's just first reconsider the following conversation which took place some years ago in a San Pedro Police station : Verbal Kint : Who is ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 19, 2012
  • Tags : 

A policy with a Twist

A policy with a Twist - image The FOMC minutes are out and it seems the committee of US rate setters is no longer unanimous on the issues. An extension of Operation Twist was the compromise outcome and there is a reason for that. And in addition, they softened the language even more by the previous commitment of rates on hold to at least Spring 2014 changing ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 12, 2012
  • Tags : 

Destroying the recovery ex-ante ?

Destroying the recovery ex-ante ? - image A funny thing happened this week with a remarkable change of tactics inside the FOMC, the rate decision organ of the Federal Reserve. Whilst almost every one was anticipating some form of new (h)opium to please the bulls, the minutes of the March meeting showed exactly the opposite. Some might argue that these minutes from the FED ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  April 05, 2012
  • Tags : 

Banks, central banks & commodities

Banks, central banks & commodities - image Manipulation and conspiracy theories are of all times. Last year, rumors surged that 1 particular giant broker in the US was doing all within its powers to depress the price of silver by selling silver futures. And the conspiracy became complete when rumors surged this was done at the request of the FED because precious metals were ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 21, 2012
  • Tags : 

Central banking dilemma

Central banking dilemma  - image The most recent FOMC statement was again an exercise in walking on eggs. Bernanke told the world things were brightening up and at the same time being extremely frustrated about the slow recovery of the labor market. On the latter, he is right : of the more than 8 million jobs lost since this crisis struck, 2 mio have been picked ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 15, 2012
  • Tags : 

The Bernanke critics are wrong ?

The Bernanke critics are wrong ?  - image The answer is "yes", that is if you read today's main article on Bloomberg. The main story line being : "The criticism about the FED being inflationary is not fact-based. Unemployment is slightly improving but far from inflationary levels. And though several republican presidential candidates are claiming Mr Bernanke is the most ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 08, 2012
  • Tags : 

FED and 5 year "risk free" heading to 0% boundery

FED and 5 year May you live in interesting times", so goes the English translation of a Chinese curse/proverb. And indeed we live in interesting times because the FOMC yesterday decided to shift the outlook on a 0% short term rate from 2013 to at least 2014. And at the same time, the FED made some choices on explicit inflation ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 25, 2012
  • Tags : 

Going French on sovereign debt solutions

Going French on sovereign debt solutions - image When the going gets tough, the tough usually gets going. In the case of the sovereign debt crisis, we have the Greek discussions with private creditors coming to a halt and a March deadline coming up (will the IMF grant a new tranche of loans ?). In the US, we are getting prepared for a repetition of the debt ceiling debate of late ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 18, 2012
  • Tags : 

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100%

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100% - image After issuing a public tender, the Flemish government has apparently made a decision on their new preferred home banker. ING came out as the winner. And already a lot of fuzz going on that it's a shame a non-Belgian, or non Flemish banker for that matter, has been elected. Dexia has announced it will take the decision into ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

More disclosure on half a trillion USD

More disclosure on half a trillion USD - image "Half a trillion USD and you don't know ?" This extract comes from a congress hearing in 2009 (cfr infra youtube link) when Ben Bernanke was questioned about the constitutional functioning of the FED and the emergency operations occurring in 2008. It was revealed back then that the FED during Q4 2008 made some 538 bio USD - and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

Solidarity & Radio Silence

Solidarity & Radio Silence - image Solidarity is a buzz word these days : solidarity of taxpayers with national or international problems, interbank solidarity (or more the lack of it) and international solidarity amongst central bankers in terms of exchange rate coordination and more recently bail-out initiatives. Last week we had another strong example with the ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 19, 2011
  • Tags : 

"Strange days" meets "Nothing Rhymed"

James Bond and Auric Goldfinger were never close friends, even when playing a game of golf. And in economic reality, it rarely occurs that both assets - gold and bonds - go hand in hand. The main reason is that gold serves as a kind of inflation hedge which normally implies an environment of rising yields (and losses on bonds). ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 25, 2011
  • Tags : 

The Recession of 2011?

The Recession of 2011? - image The renowned American financial expert and much appreciated Econopolis- and Econoshock-contact John Mauldin very accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2008 and the recession that resulted from it. In his latest newsletter "Thoughts from the Frontline" (www.johnmaulding.com and ...

  • Written by Geert Wellens
  • On  August 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

US debt ceiling and debt monetization

US debt ceiling and debt monetization - image Europe is in the midst of a financial crisis. But the US is also experiencing a debt crisis. The discussion about the so-called " debt ceiling" hides a more fundamental problem: the appetite of foreigners for US debt has been disappearing. Only China and the US Federal Reserve are willing to ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  July 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

Impact US downgrade?

Impact US downgrade? - image Op vrijdag verlaagde S&P de lange termijn kredietwaardigheid van de VS van AAA naar AA+. Het in het kader van het schuldenplafond goedgekeurde plan zou “onvoldoende zijn om het schuldenniveau te stabiliseren”. Het ratingbureau toont zich ook bezorgd over “verdere politieke risico’s”. Ratingbureau ‘s hebben wel ...

  • Written by Daan Struyven
  • On  August 07, 2011
  • Tags : 

FOMC : Strait-Jacket BB ?

FOMC : Strait-Jacket BB ? - image The FOMC dropped a bombshell...by doing nothing... and pledging to remain in zero-rate land for a long time. And there are several implications, some indirectly desired by Ben Bernanke, other more counter market productive and obscure. But apart from causing a last minute relief rally on stocks (600 point intra-day swing on DOW), ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 09, 2011
  • Tags : 
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