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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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Le Trio Infernale - Change

Le Trio Infernale - Change - image When the Roman Catholic Church meets Ferrari meets the "Left", what do you get ? Because that's in a nutshell what is currently happening in Italy, "progressive" forces seeking change and joining forces. At first sight, they truly make an odd couple trio. Mind you, the majority of Maranello based Ferrari employees ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 25, 2012
  • Tags : 

Market update : Not a single gun shot fired...

Market update : Not a single gun shot fired... - image "Never underestimate the power of denial" - Ricky Fitts, American Beauty . It has been a while we reported on the European sovereign debt crisis so we thought it being appropriate to give a quick update. Greece finally has secured a new deal with the Troika but no new haircuts are involved. So no new debt relief. We ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 28, 2012
  • Tags : 

Sunday's Guest Post : The Aviator on Europe - quo vadis ?

Sunday's Guest Post : The Aviator on Europe - quo vadis ? - image Today we have a suitable guest post coming from Kris Van der Plas. In view of Europe’s Nobel peace price, this couldn’t have come at a better time. The Anglo-Saxon world still views upon Europe as the “old continent”. To some extent they are absolutely right: we are an old continent with a history of glory and black pages. ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 14, 2012
  • Tags : 

Sunday brunch : Swedish Smorgasbord - Thou shan't leave EMU

Sunday brunch : Swedish Smorgasbord - Thou shan't leave EMU - image Sunday's big easy and two stories for the weekly wrap up. First of all Sweden, being the first big European economy to engage on economic stimulus, afraid that the global slow-down will have a strong impact on the economy due to its international exposure (exports 36% of GDP). So as a head start, the government decided to boost ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 21, 2012
  • Tags : 

An update on the adventures in the landscape of banking

An update on the adventures in the landscape of banking
 - image Before taking on the most important latest novelty - the main dish - a short appetizer on 2 items which also to a great extend stress the dangers of systemic risk still present today : 1) Yesterday the central bank of New Zealand urged its most important financial players to speed up their capital adequacy requirements : ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 12, 2012
  • Tags : 

A primer on ECB September 6 : "High time for a comprehensive approach"

A primer on ECB September 6 : That were Mario Draghi's concluding remarks speaking before European Parliament in Brussels earlier this week. Again by times a clever effort following his Zeit open letter last week where some more psychological pressure was put onto the German people. Let's see what his main message was in order to know what we can expect next ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  September 04, 2012
  • Tags : 

Basel to ignite Danish Dynamite ?

Basel to ignite Danish Dynamite ?  - image Some weeks ago, we referred to Switzerland, Norway and Denmark amongst others as safe havens and their problems in having their currencies not to appreciate too fast (eg fx reserves of central banks, especially Switzerland). And their "dynamite" features are reflected by short term negative interest rates they offer to the ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 30, 2012
  • Tags : 

Some thoughts on a German Sovereign Wealth Fund

Some thoughts on a German Sovereign Wealth Fund - image Over the past couple weeks - in facts months - we have been blogging on the future of the euro-zone and on the economic and political rationale behind recent developments. And the response in the sequential blog debates was rich and interesting to say the least, looked upon from all various angles and for which I would like to ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 29, 2012
  • Tags : 

Mr Market, EMU scenarios and credit status

Mr Market, EMU scenarios and credit status - image A lot of scenarios have circulated ever since the Greek debt crisis escalated and we got contagion into the Mediterranean periphery. And all these elements were related to bailouts, fiscal consequences of bailouts on core European countries (eg possible eurobonds etc), too big to bail (Spain/Italy) and rescue funds, whether or not ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 22, 2012
  • Tags : 

Tuesday and preparing for the turn ?

Tuesday and preparing for the turn ? - image Late last week, some comments have boosted markets in anticipation of putting a floor under certain asset classes (beleaguered peripheral bonds and equity markets). Now some have already made the remark "we believe it when we see it", meaning that Nowotny's comments on the ESM banking license - and certainly Draghi's one on bond ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 30, 2012
  • Tags : 

Wednesday's dry toast - A communication error

Wednesday's dry toast - A communication error - image In our recent blog conversations, we were already alluding to this inevitable happening and I am afraid we have arrived at this point (already intra-day yesterday). The Spanish yield curve has inverted, meaning short term yields now being above the levels of of the longer part of the curve (7y+). Under normal conditions, this could ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 24, 2012
  • Tags : 

A Vienna Yardstick for Brussels ?

A Vienna Yardstick for Brussels ? - image The headlines over the coming days will be in the style of "Belgian debt perceived as core reliable AAA". And most likely a lot of politicians will grasp the opportunity to say that our present government is doing a hell of a job, just have a look at those yields (all time low 10y < 2.5%). Now we can always be cheerful about ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 17, 2012
  • Tags : 

The manifesto for a job properly done

The manifesto for a job properly done - image Today, the following manifesto appeared in the blog sphere : "In support of a European banking union, done properly - a manifesto by economists in Germany, Austria and Switzerland". For the link, I would like to refer to : http://www.voxeu.org/article/manifesto-banking-union-economists-germany-austria-and-switzerland The ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 09, 2012
  • Tags : 

A long hot weekend dito summer

A long hot weekend dito summer - image Yesterday we had triple whammy : 28 Spanish banks dramatically downgraded & Moodys threatening to cut the Spanish sovereign to junk ; then came the news that Monte dei Paschi will be bailed by the Italian government through means of so-called Tremonti bonds. And finally the presentation of Herman Van Rompuy's 7 page road map ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  June 26, 2012
  • Tags : 

Go East, young man...

Go East, young man... - image The most acute problems are on Europe's periphery, where many smaller economies are experiencing crises strongly reminiscent of past crises in Latam America and Asia : Latvia is the new Argentina. Paul Krugman, NYT 15/12/08 (slightly wonkish) Yesterday, we picked ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  June 19, 2012
  • Tags : 

Damaged collateral

Damaged collateral - image The LTRO operation of late December by the ECB has relieved some tensions on money markets and bank funding cost in the short term. Indeed, libor spreads have come in considerably while certain government bonds have had a serious rally versus the core led by Bund. It doesn't stop quite there and the ECB is preparing another set of ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 01, 2012
  • Tags : 

Lucky shamrock performing Irish miracle escape ?

Lucky shamrock performing Irish miracle escape ? - image For once we have some good news to report, a glimmer of hope. Last week, Ireland managed to come to the international bond market on which it made a partial buy-back of existing debt (2014) and managed to roll it over into 2015 @ 4,9%. And it was a success with an announcement of more buy-backs in the pipeline. The Irish drama and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 27, 2012
  • Tags : 

Travel Log : Magyar Crossroads

Travel Log : Magyar Crossroads - image I have just returned from a short stay in Budapest. A magnificent town, reflecting its majestic history in architecture, impressive museums, 19th century open air bathing houses (Széchenyi !!) and probably the world's most beautiful library reading room (4th floor of Ervin Szabo Library !!). So we start with the good news and some ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 30, 2011
  • Tags : 

Play the "safe" EMU govie carry trade

Play the After November's hectic month on all sorts of government bonds, ranging from PIIGS over to Belgium over to credits globally, December has kicked off under a different Zodiac sign. In fact, the latest auctions on government bonds have staged various rallies on different countries.Now the question would be : Has the Belgian state ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

On the Bundesbank, Kids & Credit Cards : Half a trillion, this time EUR

On the Bundesbank, Kids & Credit Cards : 
Half a trillion, this time EUR - image "Involuntary lending is what happens when your teenager figures out how to charge stuff to your credit card. The kid promises to pay for the purchases but never gets around it, so your involuntary loan keeps getting bigger. At some point it dawns on you that you might never get your money back" ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 
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