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Recent stories for "Credit rating"
AAA Maple Leafs
According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 years in a row. Toronto Dominion Bank, the country's second largest lender, is the only publicly traded lender in the world which still carries a AAA label from Moody's (for what that's worth of ...
Tuesday's comedy capers
Just when you thought you were safe, a last minute move from our dear friends in the US are spoiling the party. Moody's lowered the outlook to"negative" for the AAA ratings of Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg (!). Yes,you read this well, even our friends over in Luxembourg - with only 3 government bond ...
A Vienna Yardstick for Brussels ?
The headlines over the coming days will be in the style of "Belgian debt perceived as core reliable AAA". And most likely a lot of politicians will grasp the opportunity to say that our present government is doing a hell of a job, just have a look at those yields (all time low 10y < 2.5%). Now we can always be cheerful about ...
Please don't upgrade us !
Coincidentally or not, but emerging markets from very different angles have crossed my path over the past 24 hours. I have been to a presentation of a major fund manager today, looked upon various CDS premia world-wide and came across the 2 main leading articles in the latest Bloomberg magazine which both focus on the outlook for ...
A note on Banzai Bonds
Yesterday, leading rating agency Standard & Poor's maintained its credit rating for Japan at AA-. And although the state of public finance should give some reason for concern, S&P nevertheless is quite confident that Japan's future current account will be sufficient in the black in order to absorb the domestic funding needs. Well, ...
Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II
In my previous posting dd 16/01, I forgot to mention some important leverage factors as well. I therefore take the privilege to give you an update with new numbers, taken from a very recent McKinsey study on global debt and debt deleveragingThe following chart gives you the facts on the composition of total debt across main ...
"Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator"
We in Europe - the old continent - have taken notice since late Friday that our credibility as a debtor has been put into question. We were warned earlier that something was waiting to happen. Now that it has materialized, I nevertheless have some questions running through my mind lately, based upon the following fundamentals ...
US Real Politik - Boomerang Part I
Politics and adapting to the new normal, it seems a bridge too far for many amongst us. And it's not restricted to Europe with its more than fair share of anglo-saxon media attention and frequent abuse. Pretty soon, it's back to Uncle Sam.During the silly season of 2011, we have witnessed a tough battle between bi-partizan ...
Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid...
...we have some busy days ahead for the financial sector. Today, bondholders of Greek sovereign paper are to meet at Deutsche Bank's headquarters in Frankfurt to discuss the "voluntary" debt swap deal arranged on 26/10. The Institute of International Finance (representing 450 financial firms and chaired by DB CEO Ackerman) has ...
AAA - A Reply to The Economist
I like the Economist and I certainly like the Buttonwood column under Finance and Economics. In its latest edition (12/11/11, p.71), Buttonwood fires at increasing European political pressure (France/Italy) to hush up credit rating agencies in an effort of censorship. And the European paranoia concerning unfair treatment is wrong ...
Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks
"If it keeps on raining, levee's going to break. And when the levee breaks, I'll have no place to stay. Mean old levee, taught me to weep and moan, got what it takes to make a mountain man leave his home, oh well, oh well..." From time to time, mother nature ...
Ouverture 1812 without rour of guns - silent drums
It seems we have a week of urgent wake-up calls. Italy, the no3 of Europe, placed under supervision by the IMF. And Berlusconi forced to quit because Mr Market is losing its patience in view of 10 year yields now dangerously approaching the tipping point of 7%. He won't leave like that, opposition needs to vote "yes" on austerity, ...
3 reasons why the EU wants rating agencies to shut op for a while
The Financial Times Deutschland mentioned the fact that the EU is thinking about a ban on rating agencies issuing ratings on eurozone countries. It could be said that the ratings agencies are like thermometers that provoke a rise of temperature. But this is probably not the right angle to look at this possible action. The reason ...
An American in Paris, again
Tomorrow yet again an important G20 summit will kick off in Paris. It will be the third time in 5 weeks that Tim Geithner will visit the "old" continent. And his mission this time is no different, ie telling European policy makers to "move fast". Earlier this week, Geithner told Bloomberg Television that "the Europeans recognize ...
The Recession of 2011?
The renowned American financial expert and much appreciated Econopolis- and Econoshock-contact John Mauldin very accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2008 and the recession that resulted from it. In his latest newsletter "Thoughts from the Frontline" (www.johnmaulding.com and ...
Impact US downgrade?
Op vrijdag verlaagde S&P de lange termijn kredietwaardigheid van de VS van AAA naar AA+. Het in het kader van het schuldenplafond goedgekeurde plan zou “onvoldoende zijn om het schuldenniveau te stabiliseren”. Het ratingbureau toont zich ook bezorgd over “verdere politieke risico’s”. Ratingbureau ‘s hebben wel ...
88888 account
When Nick Leeson had a problem in hiding his first transaction losses, he created an error account called 88888. Why ? Because 8 is a lucky number in Asia (China) and so the account was labelled 5 eight because it could use all the luck it could get. It seems Chinese auditors are on the same track.Last week the official Chinese ...
Serving Stavros Café Viennois ?
"Reprofiling", "structured default", "volontary re-investment of proceeds" , we lately have been avalanched by numerous euphimisms on something very straightforward : Greece and Europe are in dire straits, a very precarious situation to say the least. On the Greek restructuring and how to organize it, the battle over semantics is ...
Google strikes bonanza
Following the successful launch of Microsoft bonds late last year, Google has ensured itself a long term funding at benign market conditions. Too good to be true or are there other market forces at work ?Let's first recapitulate the operations Microsoft (AAA) executed in autumn 2010. In September, it issued corporate bonds for a ...
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