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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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AAA Maple Leafs

AAA Maple Leafs - image According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 years in a row. Toronto Dominion Bank, the country's second largest lender, is the only publicly traded lender in the world which still carries a AAA label from Moody's (for what that's worth of ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 29, 2012
  • Tags : 

Tuesday's comedy capers

Tuesday's comedy capers - image Just when you thought you were safe, a last minute move from our dear friends in the US are spoiling the party. Moody's lowered the outlook to"negative" for the AAA ratings of Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg (!). Yes,you read this well, even our friends over in Luxembourg - with only 3 government bond ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 24, 2012
  • Tags : 

A Vienna Yardstick for Brussels ?

A Vienna Yardstick for Brussels ? - image The headlines over the coming days will be in the style of "Belgian debt perceived as core reliable AAA". And most likely a lot of politicians will grasp the opportunity to say that our present government is doing a hell of a job, just have a look at those yields (all time low 10y < 2.5%). Now we can always be cheerful about ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 17, 2012
  • Tags : 

Please don't upgrade us !

Please don't upgrade us ! - image Coincidentally or not, but emerging markets from very different angles have crossed my path over the past 24 hours. I have been to a presentation of a major fund manager today, looked upon various CDS premia world-wide and came across the 2 main leading articles in the latest Bloomberg magazine which both focus on the outlook for ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 28, 2012
  • Tags : 

A note on Banzai Bonds

A note on Banzai Bonds - image Yesterday, leading rating agency Standard & Poor's maintained its credit rating for Japan at AA-. And although the state of public finance should give some reason for concern, S&P nevertheless is quite confident that Japan's future current account will be sufficient in the black in order to absorb the domestic funding needs. Well, ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 16, 2012
  • Tags : 

Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II

Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II - image In my previous posting dd 16/01, I forgot to mention some important leverage factors as well. I therefore take the privilege to give you an update with new numbers, taken from a very recent McKinsey study on global debt and debt deleveragingThe following chart gives you the facts on the composition of total debt across main ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 23, 2012
  • Tags : 

"Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator"

We in Europe - the old continent - have taken notice since late Friday that our credibility as a debtor has been put into question. We were warned earlier that something was waiting to happen. Now that it has materialized, I nevertheless have some questions running through my mind lately, based upon the following fundamentals ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 15, 2012
  • Tags : 

US Real Politik - Boomerang Part I

US Real Politik - Boomerang Part I - image Politics and adapting to the new normal, it seems a bridge too far for many amongst us. And it's not restricted to Europe with its more than fair share of anglo-saxon media attention and frequent abuse. Pretty soon, it's back to Uncle Sam.During the silly season of 2011, we have witnessed a tough battle between bi-partizan ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 22, 2011
  • Tags : 

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid...

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid... - image ...we have some busy days ahead for the financial sector. Today, bondholders of Greek sovereign paper are to meet at Deutsche Bank's headquarters in Frankfurt to discuss the "voluntary" debt swap deal arranged on 26/10. The Institute of International Finance (representing 450 financial firms and chaired by DB CEO Ackerman) has ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

AAA - A Reply to The Economist

 AAA - A Reply to The Economist - image I like the Economist and I certainly like the Buttonwood column under Finance and Economics. In its latest edition (12/11/11, p.71), Buttonwood fires at increasing European political pressure (France/Italy) to hush up credit rating agencies in an effort of censorship. And the European paranoia concerning unfair treatment is wrong ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks

Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks - image "If it keeps on raining, levee's going to break. And when the levee breaks, I'll have no place to stay. Mean old levee, taught me to weep and moan, got what it takes to make a mountain man leave his home, oh well, oh well..." From time to time, mother nature ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

Ouverture 1812 without rour of guns - silent drums

Ouverture 1812 without rour of guns - silent drums - image It seems we have a week of urgent wake-up calls. Italy, the no3 of Europe, placed under supervision by the IMF. And Berlusconi forced to quit because Mr Market is losing its patience in view of 10 year yields now dangerously approaching the tipping point of 7%. He won't leave like that, opposition needs to vote "yes" on austerity, ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 08, 2011
  • Tags : 

3 reasons why the EU wants rating agencies to shut op for a while

3 reasons why the EU wants rating agencies to shut op for a while - image The Financial Times Deutschland mentioned the fact that the EU is thinking about a ban on rating agencies issuing ratings on eurozone countries. It could be said that the ratings agencies are like thermometers that provoke a rise of temperature. But this is probably not the right angle to look at this possible action. The reason ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  October 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

An American in Paris, again

An American in Paris, again - image Tomorrow yet again an important G20 summit will kick off in Paris. It will be the third time in 5 weeks that Tim Geithner will visit the "old" continent. And his mission this time is no different, ie telling European policy makers to "move fast". Earlier this week, Geithner told Bloomberg Television that "the Europeans recognize ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 13, 2011
  • Tags : 

The Recession of 2011?

The Recession of 2011? - image The renowned American financial expert and much appreciated Econopolis- and Econoshock-contact John Mauldin very accurately predicted the financial crisis of 2008 and the recession that resulted from it. In his latest newsletter "Thoughts from the Frontline" (www.johnmaulding.com and ...

  • Written by Geert Wellens
  • On  August 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

Impact US downgrade?

Impact US downgrade? - image Op vrijdag verlaagde S&P de lange termijn kredietwaardigheid van de VS van AAA naar AA+. Het in het kader van het schuldenplafond goedgekeurde plan zou “onvoldoende zijn om het schuldenniveau te stabiliseren”. Het ratingbureau toont zich ook bezorgd over “verdere politieke risico’s”. Ratingbureau ‘s hebben wel ...

  • Written by Daan Struyven
  • On  August 07, 2011
  • Tags : 

88888 account

88888 account  - image When Nick Leeson had a problem in hiding his first transaction losses, he created an error account called 88888. Why ? Because 8 is a lucky number in Asia (China) and so the account was labelled 5 eight because it could use all the luck it could get. It seems Chinese auditors are on the same track.Last week the official Chinese ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 05, 2011
  • Tags : 

Serving Stavros Café Viennois ?

Serving Stavros Café Viennois ? - image "Reprofiling", "structured default", "volontary re-investment of proceeds" , we lately have been avalanched by numerous euphimisms on something very straightforward : Greece and Europe are in dire straits, a very precarious situation to say the least. On the Greek restructuring and how to organize it, the battle over semantics is ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  June 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

Google strikes bonanza

Google strikes bonanza - image Following the successful launch of Microsoft bonds late last year, Google has ensured itself a long term funding at benign market conditions. Too good to be true or are there other market forces at work ?Let's first recapitulate the operations Microsoft (AAA) executed in autumn 2010. In September, it issued corporate bonds for a ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  May 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

Decyphering CDS

Decyphering CDS

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 03, 2011
  • Tags : 
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