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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

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      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

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      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

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      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

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      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

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      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

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      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

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      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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Mr Market, EMU scenarios and credit status

Mr Market, EMU scenarios and credit status - image A lot of scenarios have circulated ever since the Greek debt crisis escalated and we got contagion into the Mediterranean periphery. And all these elements were related to bailouts, fiscal consequences of bailouts on core European countries (eg possible eurobonds etc), too big to bail (Spain/Italy) and rescue funds, whether or not ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 22, 2012
  • Tags : 

US housing market moves in mysterious ways

US housing market moves in mysterious ways - image This week we were surprised by two stories on the US housing market and more specifically on one of its less appealing features : home foreclosures. A first story line focused on the amount of legal mistakes made by banks during foreclosure processing. This became known as the robo-signing scandal, or the practice of a bank ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 10, 2012
  • Tags : 

More disclosure on half a trillion USD

More disclosure on half a trillion USD - image "Half a trillion USD and you don't know ?" This extract comes from a congress hearing in 2009 (cfr infra youtube link) when Ben Bernanke was questioned about the constitutional functioning of the FED and the emergency operations occurring in 2008. It was revealed back then that the FED during Q4 2008 made some 538 bio USD - and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid...

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid... - image ...we have some busy days ahead for the financial sector. Today, bondholders of Greek sovereign paper are to meet at Deutsche Bank's headquarters in Frankfurt to discuss the "voluntary" debt swap deal arranged on 26/10. The Institute of International Finance (representing 450 financial firms and chaired by DB CEO Ackerman) has ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

Not quite there yet

Not quite there yet - image The summit which was announced as the most important one of the past months (years) in the existence of the single currency, has been wrapped more quickly than expected. It doesn't however mean that the consensus on a solution has been achieved. Again, come and see next episode of...So all eyes on Wednesday to face the final ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 24, 2011
  • Tags : 

Towards a sovereign CoCo ?

Towards a sovereign CoCo ? - image Cocos are contingent convertible bonds and are a hot issue of debate in the current quest for banking crisis solutions, ie, bail-in instead of bail-out. It briefly implies that these bonds are automatically converted from debt to equity at a fraction of their original price - haircut - once a pre-specified threshold of bank's ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

Si nécessaire, Robin Hood, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera

Si nécessaire, Robin Hood, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera - image A lot of news coverage today on the big press conference yesterday by tandem Merkel-Sarkozy. Was it shocking or revolutionary or both ? Not really, but my personal disappointment goes partly towards what has been said (or rather not) and partly to how politicians have reacted so far (and reacted for the wrong reasons or mis-aimed ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  August 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

"Out of Order"

Karlruhe (Baden Wurtenberg) is since 1950/51 the German residence of Law. Translated, "Karlsruhe" also means "machine ganz kaput, no longer of any use, out of order". And it's these days all about "out of order" in another interpretation being "acting beyond one's legal capacity". Yesterday, the hearings before the German ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  July 06, 2011
  • Tags : 

Sympathy with Greece is mostly misplaced

Sympathy with Greece is mostly misplaced - image My Sunday readings included i.a. The New York Times, John Mauldin, The Daily Mail, and a lot of statistics by Eurostat, IMF and OECD. All the facts and hard data on Greece point to a country where citizens cheat their government, and where the government has been cheating Europe. John Mauldin , the ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  June 26, 2011
  • Tags : 

Greece : Who will pay the Ferry-man ?

Greece : Who will pay the Ferry-man ? - image The next article appeared in De Standaard and expresses the views of Geert Noels & Econopolis on the euro-zone sovereign debt crisis : De banken: risktakers moeten mee betalen. 'Tot voor zes maanden was de aanpak van het Grieks probleem: steeds meer geld op tafel leggen. Maar langzaam maar zeker evolueert het in een andere ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  June 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

Caligula

Caligula  - image The following story is not new and only a few blogs considered it to be important enough to focus on. It nevertheless merits attention because it blows your mind in various ways. And I needed some time to digest the story before commenting it, simply because it is so unreal.Last Thursday, Bloomberg reported on the special open ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  May 27, 2011
  • Tags : 

Chickens coming home to roost

Chickens coming home to roost - image "Don't fight the FED, they always come up with a perfect put option". So far so good when it comes to equities and some other assets. One exception : Mr Bond doesn't seem to go along anymore.

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 09, 2010
  • Tags : 

The European Fannie and Freddie are slowly rising

The European Fannie and Freddie are slowly rising From what I read, Merkel might get at least half of what she wanted: a participation of private investors (bond holders) in case of a bailout... The other half seems that more money will have to be put on the table. From the press release: Rules will be adapted to provide for a case by case participation of ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  November 28, 2010
  • Tags : 

Belgium seen as more risky than Brazil now

Belgium seen as more risky than Brazil now - image Tensions are back again. While Greek spreads are reaching pre-bailout highs, also other euro countries are experiencing rising spreads on their bonds and CDS-premiums.Banking problems are resurfacing (Ireland with Anglo Irish and Greece with NBG), and as a result, the focus is on the risk of souvereign problems. The Irish debt is ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  September 09, 2010
  • Tags : 

A 1000 Bn USD waste of money for Greece

A 1000 Bn USD waste of money for Greece - image Greek interest rate spreads are back at crisis levels of just before the EMU bailout fund. After 1000 Bn USD bailout effort, we are back at square 1. The Greek crisis has not been ended because of several reasons: Greece has received credits to (re)finance its (growing) debt, but the debt servicing ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  September 02, 2010
  • Tags : 

Germany is footing the EU-bills

Germany is footing the EU-bills - image The Greek Prime Minister Papandreou asks for more EU-support , economic stimuli to lift the Greek economy. The original interview with Papandreou can be found here (in the Spanish newspaper El Pais ). A quick look at the EU-budget shows that Greece already receives most from the EU-budget, and Germany ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  May 23, 2010
  • Tags : 

Griekse bailout: welk alternatief ? - Update Terzake

Griekse bailout: welk alternatief ? - Update Terzake - image Deze avond moet ik op Ter Zake komen uitleggen of ik de bailout van Griekenland nog steeds een slecht idee vind...Wel vorige week spraken we nog over 35 miljard, nu al over 110 miljard euro. Ik vind het dus nog 3 keer meer een slecht idee...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  May 03, 2010
  • Tags : 

Savings Greece, or saving the banks ?

Savings Greece, or saving the banks ? - image The decision to bailout Greece has been taken. 110 Bn euros will be spent to (re)finance Greek debt. It will be the biggest bailout operation in Europe, and apparently the biggest the IMF has ever undertaken.Given this size, you would expect more explanation on the strategy to help Greece in the long run. Without an economic ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  May 03, 2010
  • Tags : 

Aub geen Belgische lening aan Griekenland

Aub geen Belgische lening aan Griekenland

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  April 28, 2010
  • Tags : 

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