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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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US Real Politik, Boomerang Part II

US Real Politik, Boomerang Part II - image Up until now, Obama's scalps on the domestic front have been scarce, certainly when it comes to economics. Admitted, the legacy of his predecessor in terms of financial market leverage excess was phenomenal. And it has become all too blatant that traditional policy remedies are far from sufficient/efficient to solve this crisis in ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 22, 2011
  • Tags : 

US Real Politik - Boomerang Part I

US Real Politik - Boomerang Part I - image Politics and adapting to the new normal, it seems a bridge too far for many amongst us. And it's not restricted to Europe with its more than fair share of anglo-saxon media attention and frequent abuse. Pretty soon, it's back to Uncle Sam.During the silly season of 2011, we have witnessed a tough battle between bi-partizan ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 22, 2011
  • Tags : 

Kabuki

Kabuki - image In our previous posting, we mentioned that not a lot of safe havens still exit in the world of today. Which sovereign bond can I trust, what kind of monetary system will be there the day after tomorrow etc. Recently we have seen some strange developments occurring in financial markets, confirmed by international investors net in- ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 24, 2011
  • Tags : 

Politics & the university calendar

Politics & the university calendar  - image When you decide to take a higher education - eg university, college etc- you usually will be subjected to a mass of knowledge to digest. But most college systems most of the time are fair, to the extent that you can spread exams or that you will be able to receive a second chance :1) January - April : a partial exam, a chance to ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 28, 2011
  • Tags : 

Een zakenkabinet: zonder of met?

Een zakenkabinet: zonder of met? - image Mario Monti en Lucas Papademos zijn de kersverse premiers van Italië en Griekenland. Met doctoraatsdiploma’s economie van MIT en Yale op zak en topcarrières in de Europese Commissie en Europese Centrale Bank zijn het rasechte technocraten. Vormt de aanstelling van deze niet-verkozen leiders het einde van de democratie of het begin ...

  • Written by Daan Struyven
  • On  November 30, 2011
  • Tags : 

Paramo preparing us for an ECB silver bullet ??

Paramo preparing us for an ECB silver bullet ?? - image Last Sunday (blog pick 1 out of 3), I took the liberty of freewheeling into the minds of our policy makers. We had already ruled out the EFSF or SPV/CDO option, both on grounds of credibility and political feasibility (Germany). But we also suggested that the ECB might be tempted to come into action but not as last resort buyer at ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 29, 2011
  • Tags : 

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100%

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100% - image After issuing a public tender, the Flemish government has apparently made a decision on their new preferred home banker. ING came out as the winner. And already a lot of fuzz going on that it's a shame a non-Belgian, or non Flemish banker for that matter, has been elected. Dexia has announced it will take the decision into ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

On the Bundesbank, Kids & Credit Cards : Half a trillion, this time EUR

On the Bundesbank, Kids & Credit Cards : 
Half a trillion, this time EUR - image "Involuntary lending is what happens when your teenager figures out how to charge stuff to your credit card. The kid promises to pay for the purchases but never gets around it, so your involuntary loan keeps getting bigger. At some point it dawns on you that you might never get your money back" ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

Play the "safe" EMU govie carry trade

Play the After November's hectic month on all sorts of government bonds, ranging from PIIGS over to Belgium over to credits globally, December has kicked off under a different Zodiac sign. In fact, the latest auctions on government bonds have staged various rallies on different countries.Now the question would be : Has the Belgian state ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

The risk free carry, part II : Money for nothing and the bonds for free ?

The risk free carry, part II : Money for nothing and the bonds for free ?
 - image Earlier this week, we mentioned the rally on high yield European short term government bonds in anticipation of Wednesday's ECB LTRO auctioning (Long Term Refinancing Operation). Markets had expected something in the range of 300-400 bio EUR. The final result was 489 bio EUR spread over 523 bidders, on average almost 1 bio EUR per ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

The beaten generation

The beaten generation - image The labor market, the most important one in economic terms as far as I am concerned. We used to have the idea that the European labor market is much more distorted than the American one, the latter supposedly more "free". Despite today's so-called good news on the US - admittedly, it's not so bad - the numbers don't tell the whole ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 06, 2012
  • Tags : 

Voorkomen "nieuwe" fiscale regels de volgende euro-crisis?(1): L'histoire se répète?

Voorkomen Midden december kwamen de regeringsleiders van de Eurozone overeen begrotingstekorten te beperken tot 3% van het BNP. Voorkomen deze "nieuwe" fiscale regels, het door de ECB-voorzitter Draghi genoemde “Fiscal Compact”, de volgende euro-crisis? Fiscale regels bevorderen lagere overheidsschuld en zijn extra nuttig in een ...

  • Written by Daan Struyven
  • On  January 05, 2012
  • Tags : 

Are we liquidity trapped ?

Are we liquidity trapped ? - image A liquidity trap is a situation when people are hoarding cash, this out of various reasons. A standard definition would say because people are expecting an adverse event, such as deflation, insufficient aggregate demand or war. The classic debate between Keynesians and Austrians focus on the "why", not the fact that cash hoarding ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 08, 2012
  • Tags : 

Voorkomen "nieuwe" fiscale regels volgende euro-crisis ? (2):It is private leverage, stupid!

Voorkomen Onze vorige post over de nieuwe fiscale regels voor de Eurozone (het "Fiscal Compact") stelde dat de "nieuwe regels" (o.a. de beperking van begrotingstekorten tot 3% van het BNP) nauwelijks verschillen van de "oude regels" van het Groei- en Stabiliteitspact (GSP). Het GSP werd niet nageleefd en voorzag geen prikkels voor ...

  • Written by Daan Struyven
  • On  January 04, 2012
  • Tags : 

Something is rotten in the state of Uncle Sam

Something is rotten in the state of  Uncle Sam - image With the recent change in FED "speak" strategy, more transparent communication and the new composition of voting members within the FOMC - kingdom of the doves and the last hawk having left the building - market speculation is rising that a new round of QE3 will be announced very soon. On the desirability of such a new program and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 10, 2012
  • Tags : 

House of Pain - Fed to the rescue, again

House of Pain - Fed to the rescue, again - image New figures on US home foreclosures were recently released and for some, it might even induce some feeling of optimism. So the worst is behind us ? Not yet, and certainly not as far as the FED is concerned. But let's first take a look at some basic stats.

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 12, 2012
  • Tags : 

Money for nothing, de olijfboom en andere olie

Money for nothing, de olijfboom en andere olie - image Iemand betalen om je geld gedurende lange tijd bij te houden, geen zinnig mens zou dat doen, en toch is het wat deze week opnieuw met meerdere miljarden gebeurde.Duitsland sleet voor bijna 4 miljard aan obligaties en doordat de uitgifte boven pari gebeurde zorgde een lage intrestvoet ervoor dat de crediteur op vervaldatum per saldo ...

  • Written by Johan Braem
  • On  January 13, 2012
  • Tags : 

Going French on sovereign debt solutions

Going French on sovereign debt solutions - image When the going gets tough, the tough usually gets going. In the case of the sovereign debt crisis, we have the Greek discussions with private creditors coming to a halt and a March deadline coming up (will the IMF grant a new tranche of loans ?). In the US, we are getting prepared for a repetition of the debt ceiling debate of late ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 18, 2012
  • Tags : 

Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II

Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II - image In my previous posting dd 16/01, I forgot to mention some important leverage factors as well. I therefore take the privilege to give you an update with new numbers, taken from a very recent McKinsey study on global debt and debt deleveragingThe following chart gives you the facts on the composition of total debt across main ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 23, 2012
  • Tags : 

On the IMF, sprints, marathons and hybrids

On the IMF, sprints, marathons and hybrids - image A funny string of recent events have captured my attention. And it involves the IMF and politics. May be far fetched but a warning as well towards various addressees, either politically, economically or both. And the IMF is balancing here on a thin line judging the noises we are recently hearing.First of all there was Christine ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 25, 2012
  • Tags : 
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