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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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It's a long way to Tipporary...

It's a long way to Tipporary... - image Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has anticipated on these demographic evolutions. As usual, most politicians and media take this with a benign neglect attitude : What's the problem, 2050 is still ages away ? Or in true Belgian style, it ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 22, 2013
  • Tags : 

"We simply can't" or... "We simply won't" ??

The Belgian 2013 budget debate resumes and it seems that once again we encounter a steeple chase with lots of water bassins and people from all pressure groups pre-emptively closing several options. The objective of this year's exercise is to find EUR 3.7 bio and to lower the budget deficit to -2.15% of GDP at Europe's request. My ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 04, 2012
  • Tags : 

Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II

Dear Mr(s) Credit Rator, Part II - image In my previous posting dd 16/01, I forgot to mention some important leverage factors as well. I therefore take the privilege to give you an update with new numbers, taken from a very recent McKinsey study on global debt and debt deleveragingThe following chart gives you the facts on the composition of total debt across main ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 23, 2012
  • Tags : 

Going French on sovereign debt solutions

Going French on sovereign debt solutions - image When the going gets tough, the tough usually gets going. In the case of the sovereign debt crisis, we have the Greek discussions with private creditors coming to a halt and a March deadline coming up (will the IMF grant a new tranche of loans ?). In the US, we are getting prepared for a repetition of the debt ceiling debate of late ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 18, 2012
  • Tags : 

Are we liquidity trapped ?

Are we liquidity trapped ? - image A liquidity trap is a situation when people are hoarding cash, this out of various reasons. A standard definition would say because people are expecting an adverse event, such as deflation, insufficient aggregate demand or war. The classic debate between Keynesians and Austrians focus on the "why", not the fact that cash hoarding ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 08, 2012
  • Tags : 

The beaten generation

The beaten generation - image The labor market, the most important one in economic terms as far as I am concerned. We used to have the idea that the European labor market is much more distorted than the American one, the latter supposedly more "free". Despite today's so-called good news on the US - admittedly, it's not so bad - the numbers don't tell the whole ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 06, 2012
  • Tags : 

The risk free carry, part II : Money for nothing and the bonds for free ?

The risk free carry, part II : Money for nothing and the bonds for free ?
 - image Earlier this week, we mentioned the rally on high yield European short term government bonds in anticipation of Wednesday's ECB LTRO auctioning (Long Term Refinancing Operation). Markets had expected something in the range of 300-400 bio EUR. The final result was 489 bio EUR spread over 523 bidders, on average almost 1 bio EUR per ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

Play the "safe" EMU govie carry trade

Play the After November's hectic month on all sorts of government bonds, ranging from PIIGS over to Belgium over to credits globally, December has kicked off under a different Zodiac sign. In fact, the latest auctions on government bonds have staged various rallies on different countries.Now the question would be : Has the Belgian state ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

On the Bundesbank, Kids & Credit Cards : Half a trillion, this time EUR

On the Bundesbank, Kids & Credit Cards : 
Half a trillion, this time EUR - image "Involuntary lending is what happens when your teenager figures out how to charge stuff to your credit card. The kid promises to pay for the purchases but never gets around it, so your involuntary loan keeps getting bigger. At some point it dawns on you that you might never get your money back" ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100%

Solely I owe the Flemish taxpayer 100% - image After issuing a public tender, the Flemish government has apparently made a decision on their new preferred home banker. ING came out as the winner. And already a lot of fuzz going on that it's a shame a non-Belgian, or non Flemish banker for that matter, has been elected. Dexia has announced it will take the decision into ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 15, 2011
  • Tags : 

Paramo preparing us for an ECB silver bullet ??

Paramo preparing us for an ECB silver bullet ?? - image Last Sunday (blog pick 1 out of 3), I took the liberty of freewheeling into the minds of our policy makers. We had already ruled out the EFSF or SPV/CDO option, both on grounds of credibility and political feasibility (Germany). But we also suggested that the ECB might be tempted to come into action but not as last resort buyer at ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 29, 2011
  • Tags : 

Politics & the university calendar

Politics & the university calendar  - image When you decide to take a higher education - eg university, college etc- you usually will be subjected to a mass of knowledge to digest. But most college systems most of the time are fair, to the extent that you can spread exams or that you will be able to receive a second chance :1) January - April : a partial exam, a chance to ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 28, 2011
  • Tags : 

"Old Belgium is dying"

"The best argument against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter" Sir Winston Churchill, you love or hate him. Smoking cigars and gallons of whiskey. But Winston was there in times of ultimate despair. And Winston brought home the Nobel as well (1953, ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 18, 2011
  • Tags : 

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid...

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid... - image ...we have some busy days ahead for the financial sector. Today, bondholders of Greek sovereign paper are to meet at Deutsche Bank's headquarters in Frankfurt to discuss the "voluntary" debt swap deal arranged on 26/10. The Institute of International Finance (representing 450 financial firms and chaired by DB CEO Ackerman) has ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks

Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks - image "If it keeps on raining, levee's going to break. And when the levee breaks, I'll have no place to stay. Mean old levee, taught me to weep and moan, got what it takes to make a mountain man leave his home, oh well, oh well..." From time to time, mother nature ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

"Real Politik" : A German Pre-emptive strike ?

Courtesy of Zerohedge and if they are right with their scope, we still can't say that we hadn't seen this one coming : Apparently Germany is silently preparing a "tabula rasa" and "cut the crap". In Thursday's Handelsblatt edition, it would appear that the following simple question would be raised : those who can and willing to ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 09, 2011
  • Tags : 

"And the Final Jeopardy category is...Big Numbers"

480,000,000,000 or slightly more or less, doesn't make such a difference, does it. Ancient BEF that is. Or in today's lexicon AKA around EUR 12 billion (12,000,000,000). And that's a mighty big number, certainly in a Belgian framework. I even think that if you take the Global Plan of Dehaene-Van Rompuy I under consideration and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 06, 2011
  • Tags : 

Entering the post 26/10 era

Entering the post 26/10 era - image Yesterday's marathon meeting delivered some of the goodies, in some cases even surprisingly better than expected, in other respect still vague. And we have postponed once again some important decisions, both on the practical implementation of announcements (SPVs to fund the leveraged vehicle, quid), not a convincing attitude coming ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 27, 2011
  • Tags : 

Not quite there yet

Not quite there yet - image The summit which was announced as the most important one of the past months (years) in the existence of the single currency, has been wrapped more quickly than expected. It doesn't however mean that the consensus on a solution has been achieved. Again, come and see next episode of...So all eyes on Wednesday to face the final ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 24, 2011
  • Tags : 

"You may leave your message..."

"...after the gunshot", replies the answering machine of Herr Flick. Today, a newspaper from progressive left origin had the audacity to bundle all the reactions - or rather lack of reactions - from various members of the board of governors from Dexia and the Communal Holding. The summary is quite a revelation. On ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 19, 2011
  • Tags : 
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