Piekolie dichterbij dan gedacht
Het Internationaal Energie Agentschap (IEA) heeft toegegeven dat de cijfers over de olievoorraden in het verleden werden gemanipuleerd. Een topmedewerker heeft in de Britse krant ‘The Guardian’ een boekje opengedaan over de situatie.
The world is much closer to running out of
than official estimates admit, according to a whistleblower at the International
Agency who claims it has been deliberately underplaying a looming shortage for fear of triggering panic buying.
The senior official claims the US has played an influential role in encouraging the watchdog to underplay the rate of decline from existing oil fields while overplaying the chances of finding new reserves.
Dat er geknoeid wordt met de oliecijfers en -reserves zou voor iedereen snel duidelijk moeten zijn. De cijfers van de oliereserves van de OPEC-landen staan al decennia vastgeroest, niettegenstaande jarenlange productie. Maar dat ook de productie wordt overschat, is toch nieuw:
Now the ‘peak oil’ theory is gaining support at the heart of the global energy establishment. “The IEA in 2005 was predicting oil supplies could rise as high as 120m barrels a day by 2030 although it was forced to reduce this gradually to 116m and then 105m last year,” said the IEA source, who was unwilling to be identified for fear of reprisals inside the industry. “The 120m figure always was nonsense but even today’s number is much higher than can be justified and the IEA knows this.
Piekolie is dus plots geen theorie meer van wereldvreemde hobbyisten zoals Matthew Simmons (auteur van ‘Twilight in the Desert’) en anderen.
A second senior IEA source, who has now left but was also unwilling to give his name, said a key rule at the organisation was that it was “imperative not to anger the Americans” but the fact was that there was not as much oil in the world as had been admitted. “We have [already] entered the ‘peak oil’ zone. I think that the situation is really bad,” he added.
Het volledige verhaal kunt uhierlezen.