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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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The Chinese Copper "detour"

The Chinese Copper There's an old Irish joke about a guy who's lost and desperately looking for the road to Kilearney. When encountering a farmer and asking for the right direction, the answer comes straight : "If you're heading for Kilearney, I wouldn't depart from here". Chinaman's dilemma is identical. The detour ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 29, 2011
  • Tags : 

Automatic Pilot

Automatic Pilot - image "I don't trust automatic pilot, I wanna be myself when the fall-out comes..."D. Blanchart - "Living in a cockpit". 2008 was a period where world markets suffered a correlated crash with virtually every asset class collapsing in an unprecedented fashion. Can it happen again ?

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 28, 2011
  • Tags : 

Rating Agencies - Charm Offensive

Rating Agencies - Charm Offensive - image Rating agencies : when the music plays, you most of the time don't need them around and when the music stops, you really don't want them to be around. Yesterday, after years of not being welcome to the party, Moody's invited itself once again and guess what : They even gave a round of free drinks !

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 24, 2011
  • Tags : 

Japan & M-East : Risk & Weekly wrap-up

Japan & M-East : Risk & Weekly wrap-up - image One week into the Japanese drama and we have already witnessed some important developments on the financial front. As usual, just follow the flows.

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

James Dean & The game of chicken

James Dean & The game of chicken - image James Dean will always be remembered for 1 famous scene in "Rebel without a cause". The scene depicts two teenage opponents competing for the favours of a sixteen year old girl, played by Natalie Wood. Both young turks drive a car at full speed towards a cliff. He who jumps as the first from his car is called the ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 14, 2011
  • Tags : 

"One size fits all" exit

Last Thursday, a rather hawkish ECB press conference took the investors' community by surprise. It seems that April will end the period of extreme low interest rates in Europe. Some even argue that the ECB is on the verge of repeating the July 2008 rate hike mistake (4%-4,25%). Why is the ECB worried and what's at ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  March 08, 2011
  • Tags : 

Decyphering CDS

Decyphering CDS

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  February 03, 2011
  • Tags : 

London Calling

London Calling - image The latest string of monthly figures on foreign holdings of US Treasuries gives some surprising results : Of the big global players, only Japan and Brazil keep on accumulating US debt at a steady pace. Opec, Russia and the Carribean seem to be losing interest while China apparently heralds status quo, if we believe the official ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 24, 2011
  • Tags : 

Mad World : HFT

Mad World : HFT Apparently, 70% of all traded volume on the NYSE is not executed by human beings. Welcome to the world of algo trading and flash crashes, predatory trading, all explained by an 8th grade student.

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 21, 2011
  • Tags : 

The Third Mandate and Stabilit

The Third Mandate and Stabilit Speaking on CNBC at a FDIC sponsored forum last week, FED chairman Bernanke was asked how quantittative easing could be called a success in view of rising interest rates and commodity price spikes. His answer revealed that the FED now officially admits having a third mandate : "Our policies have contributed to a stronger ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

De derde kloof

De derde kloof De regeringsvorming in België moet een dubbele kloof overbruggen. De Noord/Zuidkloof is de eerste. De taalproblematiek is wellicht echter minder ernstig dan de Link/Rechts tegenstellingen, een tweede kloof.Door de uitputtingsslag die nu bezig is, groeit de roep om een snelle oplossing. Deze snel op te richten regering moet met ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  January 14, 2011
  • Tags : 

Monty FED - the Holy Grail

Monty FED - the Holy Grail "Camelot, Camelot, Camelot !!!", yell the Knights of the Round Table when finally arriving at King Arthur's residence. Their optimism is quickly put down to earth when Concorde, the brave carrier, mumbles "it's only a model." FED Governor Yellen to some extend shared the same kind of enthusiasm last week, and equally we tend to ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 13, 2011
  • Tags : 

Alan Greenspan still loves bubbles (update)

Alan Greenspan still loves bubbles (update) If he would have the chance, he would do it over again, in exactly the same way...Alan Greenspan has no regrets. The ICT bubble, the housing bubble, the credit bubble, all built on cheap money. The Greenspan era had two periods: a sound policy until 1996, then a period of easy money and monetary experiments. Curiously, after his ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  January 07, 2011
  • Tags : 

Italy now better quality than Belgium...

Italy now better quality than Belgium... - image According to the CDS premia (source: FT)

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  January 06, 2011
  • Tags : 

US Banks were also insolvent in the 80-ies and 90-ies

US Banks were also insolvent in the 80-ies and 90-ies - image Experts almost unanimously are pushing for a nationalisation of the banking sector, especially in the US. As this decision will determine to an important degree the next decade, it might be interesting to look at some counterarguments before deciding. The case for nationalisation can be summarised : ... the ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  February 19, 2009
  • Tags : 

De Europese Schuldpiramide

De Europese Schuldpiramide De wet van Gresham is aan een demonstratie bezig in Europa: het goede geld wordt in snel tempo achter het slechte geworpen. De ECB is ontmaagd, Maastricht verkracht en de euro verdrachmet.

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  December 28, 2010
  • Tags : 

Belgium: not the sick man of Europe, but of the core eurozone - update

Belgium: not the sick man of Europe, but of the core eurozone - update - image S&P has revised its outlook for Belgium from stable to negative. "We believe that Belgium's prolonged domestic political uncertainty poses risks to its government's credit standing, especially given the difficult market conditions many eurozone governments are facing" Some remarks: - S&P is lagging behind ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  December 13, 2010
  • Tags : 

Chickens coming home to roost

Chickens coming home to roost - image "Don't fight the FED, they always come up with a perfect put option". So far so good when it comes to equities and some other assets. One exception : Mr Bond doesn't seem to go along anymore.

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 09, 2010
  • Tags : 

Going beyond the final frontier...

Going beyond the final frontier... In a rare appearance before national broadcast, Ben Bernanke yesterday on CBS gave comment on the state of the economy and his intentions further up the road. Apparently it took 1 bad number - November pay-rolls released last Friday - to ring the alarm bells inside the FED. Just 1 month after QE2 has been announced, it seems QE3 is ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 06, 2010
  • Tags : 

Is this the real reason for QE2 ? - Update

Is this the real reason for QE2 ? - Update - image The Fed will buy 600Bn USD debt ... "...the Committee intends to purchase a further 600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011, a pace of about $75 billion per month. The Committee will regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  November 03, 2010
  • Tags : 
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