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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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A note on trade "butterfly" effects

A note on trade Last Friday, I went to a Central Europe event organized by KBC. Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary presented themselves in terms of business cycle & public finance outlook. The session was highly interesting because some unusual features came up which made me look a little bit further. But first the main lessons to be ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 17, 2012
  • Tags : 

Market Update - Global banks, CDS and Fx

Market Update - Global banks, CDS and Fx - image QE3 and the morning after, what's the score ? Well, considering it was pretty well wired, market reactions so far are not that exuberant in terms of volatility. Ben's message was simple : Nevermind the greenshoots appearing, we are going "all in", no matter. Until unemployment does not dive under the FED's 6,5% target, we will be ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 13, 2012
  • Tags : 

Note on the Volcker Rule

Note on the Volcker Rule - image Former FED governor Paul Volcker was appointed in 2009 by the Obama administration to chair the President's Economic Recovery Advisory Board. Volcker has ever since been focusing on systemic risk in the financial sector, more specifically the trading positions commercial banks take on. It's basically an extension or implementation ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 12, 2012
  • Tags : 

Bubble complacency revisited

Bubble complacency revisited - image Complacency is usually a recipe for disaster and financial markets are no exception. Most common bubbles we have experienced throughout history mainly focus on overpricing risk and risk assets, usually stocks or high yield bonds. But when it comes to bonds these days, we have been going into bubble territory deeper and deeper by ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 11, 2012
  • Tags : 

All right listen up everybody, this is the plan...

All right listen up everybody, this is the plan... - image ...and it's all about plan B, AKA "The Great Escape". There has been some speculation going on lately on how our monetary policy makers intend to normalize the unusual situation where we are in right now. Some - and probably helicopter Ben included - argue that it can become even more unusual in view of the fact that things are not ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  December 07, 2012
  • Tags : 

Market update : Not a single gun shot fired...

Market update : Not a single gun shot fired... - image "Never underestimate the power of denial" - Ricky Fitts, American Beauty . It has been a while we reported on the European sovereign debt crisis so we thought it being appropriate to give a quick update. Greece finally has secured a new deal with the Troika but no new haircuts are involved. So no new debt relief. We ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 28, 2012
  • Tags : 

Gold, banks & The Grand Bazaar

Gold, banks & The Grand Bazaar - image Yesterday we picked the following story on the net under the frame work of "creative bank funding". It concerns Turkey and how to activate dead assets in a productive way. Before going into this story, a quick look on Turkey. It's a country with a chronic balance of payment problem and hence the currency is erratic, monetary policy ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 30, 2012
  • Tags : 

The Chicago Plan & the Magic Wand

The Chicago Plan & the Magic Wand - image An IMF Working Paper released in August of this year is staging a comeback in the press and blog sphere. It is titled "The Chicago Plan Revisited". It basically tackles 2 issues here : 1, a complete sovereign control over the money supply and hence an attack on private fractional reserve banking. 2, a swift solution of the debt ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 21, 2012
  • Tags : 

Sunday's reflection on Black Monday

Sunday's reflection on Black Monday - image We almost forgot but last Friday was the 25th anniversary of 19 October 1987, ie "Black Monday" or the day the Dow Jones took a 22.68% plunge losing 508 index points. But here the story of that specific event did not end. Because when we people made a reality check at the end of that desastrous equity month in 1987, the damage ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 21, 2012
  • Tags : 

Morton's Fork revisited

Morton's Fork revisited - image Last year in October, we gave you a preview on the Belgian budget annex government formation by referring to Cardinal Morton and a style figure coming out of bridge play : http://www.econoshock.be/morton-s-fork-crisis-intermezzo The term Morton's fork stems from the days Archbishop Morton was Chancellor of the ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 08, 2012
  • Tags : 
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