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    • Guest Post - Going up the country

      Guest Post - Going up the country Today, we have reserved a guest post for Jan De Blonde who is very actively engaged in sustainable farmland investment abroad. Jan is ...

    • Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite

      Guest post Ironhorse : Free people around the world, Unite
 My friend the equity racehorse sent me me the following interesting link which appeared on Dutch television and which basically ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

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    • Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen

      Wat de energiestatistieken van 2011 ons vertellen Elk jaar omtrent deze tijd publiceert BP zijn Statistical Review of World Energy. Bijna 50 pagina’s grotendeels gevuld met tabellen ...

    • Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken

      Elk huishouden moet eigen energie opwekken Vorige zondag (6 mei 2012) verscheen het volgend interview in De Zondag:

    • De platte aarde

      De platte aarde Door een abrupt beëindigde skivakantie (nauwelijks 50 meter op de latten gestaan) bracht ik de rest van de week haast immobiel en al ...

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    • My Mood(y's) swings

      My Mood(y's) swings Well, it's not exactly Moody's but more precisely Fitch, sending out messages which are "surprising" to say the least. Remember ...

    • A Primer on the "Magic Mountain"

      A Primer on the Davos, setting of the Thomas Mann novel "Der Zauberberg" and sheltering famous people throughout history such as ...

    • Sunday's Pedrocchi's "Light"

      Sunday's Pedrocchi's Following our adventures in today's every changing moods in the world of finance, it's not a bad thing to assess volatility as a ...

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    • THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2

      THE ASIAN BEER BATTLE – Part 2 You may remember I wrote a piece on Asia Pacific Breweries (APB) , Heineken and Fraser & Neave (F&N) when I was in Singapore earlier ...

    • Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics

      Joint Guest post : Barter & Geo-politics My dear friend Sideshow Bob sent me a short note which I think deserves some attention. It opens up the discussion on one of the most ...

    • 1 is minder dan 2

      1 is minder dan 2 Geen kat die deze stelling zal betwisten, maar de impact ervan op de Chinese economie wordt vermoedelijk zwaar onderschat. We hebben ...

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    • Facebook, Google revisited?

      Facebook, Google revisited? De kogel is door de kerk, iedereen van ons kan straks aandeelhouder van Facebook worden. Intekenen op een IPO is echter niet altijd ...

    • Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien

      Apple, dividend maar de spaarpot blijft groeien Apple kwam de afgelopen week met de langverwachte medeling over hun spaarpot van 100 miljard $. Een mogelijke overname is nog niet in ...

    • The Future of Media

      The Future of Media On March 14th, the Media Innovation Center was launched (under the wings of the IBBT) and baptized 'Mix'. Its goal is to support and ...

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    • It's a long way to Tipporary...

      It's a long way to Tipporary... Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has ...

    • AAA Maple Leafs

      AAA Maple Leafs According to the World Economic Forum, Canadian banks have been ranked as the soundest and most safe banks world-wide, this for 5 ...

    • Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio

      Housing update - The Gemini Portfolio Gemini, the immortal twins Castor and Pollux, in this case Dublin and Cork. We picked up an interesting story from out of Bloomberg ...

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3 reasons why the EU wants rating agencies to shut op for a while

3 reasons why the EU wants rating agencies to shut op for a while - image The Financial Times Deutschland mentioned the fact that the EU is thinking about a ban on rating agencies issuing ratings on eurozone countries. It could be said that the ratings agencies are like thermometers that provoke a rise of temperature. But this is probably not the right angle to look at this possible action. The reason ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  October 20, 2011
  • Tags : 

Euroland at stallspeed

Euroland at stallspeed - image Stall speed is the speed at which aircrafts do not get enough lift to fly. It is the perfect description of the pace of growth in the US and the eurozone. With quarter-on-quarter growth near zero in the 17-eurozone countries, growth momentum has come to a halt. As GDP growth numbers are lagging sentiment indicators (see main ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  August 16, 2011
  • Tags : 

Pijnloze oplossing is fictie

Pijnloze oplossing is fictie - image (deze tekst verscheen in De Standaard afgelopen weekend) - Geert Noels, hoofdeconoom en stichter van de vermogensbeheerder Econopolis, zegt dat de tijd van schuldgedreven groei definitief voorbij is. Hij waarschuwt voor kwakzalvers die ons naar de afgrond brengen. Politici en bankiers zouden moeten kijken naar ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  August 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

Sympathy with Greece is mostly misplaced

Sympathy with Greece is mostly misplaced - image My Sunday readings included i.a. The New York Times, John Mauldin, The Daily Mail, and a lot of statistics by Eurostat, IMF and OECD. All the facts and hard data on Greece point to a country where citizens cheat their government, and where the government has been cheating Europe. John Mauldin , the ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  June 26, 2011
  • Tags : 

Wat heeft de EU voor ons gedaan ?

Wat heeft de EU voor ons gedaan ? - image Andere tijd, ander decor en andere politieke leiders,... zelfde discussie. Het zou in Griekenland kunnen zijn, of in Spanje, of in België... wat heeft de EU ons bijgebracht ?

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  June 22, 2011
  • Tags : 

Draghi zoals Riccardo Ricco

Draghi zoals Riccardo Ricco Uit Knack:U twitterde: ‘Beseffen ze bij de ECB dat het een fout signaal is om Mario Draghi te benoemen tot directeur?’ Waarom? Noels: "Mario Draghi is zo kort na de financiële crisis niet de figuur die breekt met het verleden. Hij had een vooraanstaande functie bij investeringsbank Goldman Sachs in de periode toen de crisis ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  May 05, 2011
  • Tags : 

3 vragen over Griekenland

3 vragen over Griekenland 1. Is een Griekse schuldherschikking onvermijdelijk ? 'Een of andere aanpassing van de terugbetalingsmodaliteiten van de Griekse schuld is niet te vermijden. Voorbeelden daarvan zijn een verlenging van de looptijd, het overslaan of kapitaliseren van een rentebetaling, het nemen van een 'haircut' (bijvoorbeeld aanvaarden ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  April 25, 2011
  • Tags : 

Zonder remmen over de top

Zonder remmen over de top De slogan dat de crisis achter de rug is, klinkt steeds luider. Helaas moeten we na een keynesiaans gestimuleerd herstel ons beginnen af te vragen hoe we de volgende groeivertraging gaan aanpakken.

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  March 05, 2011
  • Tags : 

De Europese Schuldpiramide

De Europese Schuldpiramide De wet van Gresham is aan een demonstratie bezig in Europa: het goede geld wordt in snel tempo achter het slechte geworpen. De ECB is ontmaagd, Maastricht verkracht en de euro verdrachmet.

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  December 28, 2010
  • Tags : 

Panorama : de neurozone

Panorama : de neurozone

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  January 03, 2011
  • Tags : 

Schizofrenie maakt ons zieker

Schizofrenie maakt ons zieker België leidt aan een bepaalde vorm van schizofrenie.Tegen het buitenland verdedigen we een beeld dat de interne politieke twisten een deel van onze cultuur zijn, niets om zich zorgen te maken. We zeggen ook tegen de buitenlandse media dat onze budgettaire problemen niet zo groot zijn, onder het gemiddelde van de rest van Europa. We ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  December 15, 2010
  • Tags : 

The European Fannie and Freddie are slowly rising

The European Fannie and Freddie are slowly rising From what I read, Merkel might get at least half of what she wanted: a participation of private investors (bond holders) in case of a bailout... The other half seems that more money will have to be put on the table. From the press release: Rules will be adapted to provide for a case by case participation of ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  November 28, 2010
  • Tags : 

Greece: Argentina revisited ?

Greece: Argentina revisited ? - image Interesting Fed research on the parallel between Greece and Argentina. And while the US Fed of San Francisco is trying to avoid alarmist conclusions, the Greek crisis has not ended yet.

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  November 02, 2010
  • Tags : 

Het VK bespaart

Het VK bespaart - image De besparingen in het VK gaan diep: 93 miljard euro. De pensioenleeftijd wordt opgetrokken tot 66 jaar, de overheid moet ontvetten, alle departementen moeten bijdragen. De FT schrijft:Declaring that “today is the day where Britain steps back from the brink”, George Osborne, the chancellor of the exchequer, revealed dramatic ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  October 21, 2010
  • Tags : 

Duitsland steekt de VS voorbij

Duitsland steekt de VS voorbij - image De crisis heeft ook op de arbeidsmarkt de kaarten herschud. Voor de crisis was de werkloosheidsgraad in de VS minder dan 5%, vandaag bedraagt die ongeveer het dubbele. De Duitse werkloosheidsgraad staat echter fors lager dan voor de start van de crisis. In 2007 bedroeg de werkloosheidsgraad 8,4%, vandaag 6,9%. ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  September 17, 2010
  • Tags : 

A 1000 Bn USD waste of money for Greece

A 1000 Bn USD waste of money for Greece - image Greek interest rate spreads are back at crisis levels of just before the EMU bailout fund. After 1000 Bn USD bailout effort, we are back at square 1. The Greek crisis has not been ended because of several reasons: Greece has received credits to (re)finance its (growing) debt, but the debt servicing ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  September 02, 2010
  • Tags : 

Het decennium van de deflatie

Het decennium van de deflatie - image De financiële crisis heeft zowat alle discipline weggeveegd. Begrotingen ontsporen, monetaire politiek en afspraken worden ad-hoc bijgesteld, schuldenproblemen van landen worden overgenomen door andere landen etc. We leven in een periode van improvisatie. Waar dit naartoe leidt weet niemand met zekerheid. Centrale bankiers zijn ...

  • Written by Geert Noels
  • On  May 25, 2010
  • Tags : 

German peak oil fears

German peak oil fears - image Yesterday, the draft version of a study by a German military think thank was leaked to Der Spiegel . Subject of the study was the question how peak oil could change the global economy. This shows that peak oil is taken seriously by the German government. Some extracts from the study (summarized and ...

  • Written by Heleen Van Hoof
  • On  September 02, 2010
  • Tags : 

It's a long way to Tipporary...

It's a long way to Tipporary... - image Yesterday Fitch released a report with some arithmetics and outlook on the ageing population and how the developed west so far has anticipated on these demographic evolutions. As usual, most politicians and media take this with a benign neglect attitude : What's the problem, 2050 is still ages away ? Or in true Belgian style, it ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  January 22, 2013
  • Tags : 

Paramo preparing us for an ECB silver bullet ??

Paramo preparing us for an ECB silver bullet ?? - image Last Sunday (blog pick 1 out of 3), I took the liberty of freewheeling into the minds of our policy makers. We had already ruled out the EFSF or SPV/CDO option, both on grounds of credibility and political feasibility (Germany). But we also suggested that the ECB might be tempted to come into action but not as last resort buyer at ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 29, 2011
  • Tags : 

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid...

Meanwhile in Frankfurt and Madrid... - image ...we have some busy days ahead for the financial sector. Today, bondholders of Greek sovereign paper are to meet at Deutsche Bank's headquarters in Frankfurt to discuss the "voluntary" debt swap deal arranged on 26/10. The Institute of International Finance (representing 450 financial firms and chaired by DB CEO Ackerman) has ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 17, 2011
  • Tags : 

Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks

Shaky Foundations - When the levee breaks - image "If it keeps on raining, levee's going to break. And when the levee breaks, I'll have no place to stay. Mean old levee, taught me to weep and moan, got what it takes to make a mountain man leave his home, oh well, oh well..." From time to time, mother nature ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 12, 2011
  • Tags : 

"Real Politik" : A German Pre-emptive strike ?

Courtesy of Zerohedge and if they are right with their scope, we still can't say that we hadn't seen this one coming : Apparently Germany is silently preparing a "tabula rasa" and "cut the crap". In Thursday's Handelsblatt edition, it would appear that the following simple question would be raised : those who can and willing to ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 09, 2011
  • Tags : 

"And the Final Jeopardy category is...Big Numbers"

480,000,000,000 or slightly more or less, doesn't make such a difference, does it. Ancient BEF that is. Or in today's lexicon AKA around EUR 12 billion (12,000,000,000). And that's a mighty big number, certainly in a Belgian framework. I even think that if you take the Global Plan of Dehaene-Van Rompuy I under consideration and ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  November 06, 2011
  • Tags : 

Entering the post 26/10 era

Entering the post 26/10 era - image Yesterday's marathon meeting delivered some of the goodies, in some cases even surprisingly better than expected, in other respect still vague. And we have postponed once again some important decisions, both on the practical implementation of announcements (SPVs to fund the leveraged vehicle, quid), not a convincing attitude coming ...

  • Written by Christof Govaerts
  • On  October 27, 2011
  • Tags : 
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